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Sumitomo Electric

5802.TMEDIUM

Wiring / HV Cables · Weight: 4%· Data as of 2026-05-17

¥9,900-2.85%
6-month daily

Investment Thesis

Dominant Japanese wire harness supplier — EV content ~30% higher value than ICE due to HV shielding. FY2026 record OP ¥418.2B (+30.4%). Confirmed Toyota/Honda/Nissan OEM supply. Medium-term target OP ¥600B by FY2029. 4-for-1 stock split July 1 2026.

Risk

CAUTION — elevated valuation. Forward PE 29.7x on declining FY2027 NI (-13.4% due to Sumitomo Densetsu deconsolidation + US tariff headwinds). PB 2.4x above 80th percentile guardrail. OP still growing +1.6% — NI decline is partly one-time, but tariff risk is structural. Peak Earnings trap risk if OP misses in FY2027.

Monitoring Trigger

FY2027 Q1 OP trajectory (Jul 2026 results). Post-split price behavior. EV harness order intake. If FY2027 OP tracking <¥400B, EXIT. 4-for-1 split July 1 2026 — verify price adjustment.

Key Dates

2026-06-30rebalanceSemiannual portfolio rebalance
2026-07-01catalyst4-for-1 stock split effective (pre-split price ~¥11,200 → ~¥2,800 post-split)
2026-08earningsQ1 FY2027 earnings — critical: does OP track toward ¥425B guidance
2027-05monitoringFY2027 full-year results — validate OP ¥425B guidance delivery

Update History

2026-05-17evolveHOLD
View report →

FY2026 record OP ¥418.2B (+30.4%), NI ¥369.51B. 4-for-1 split July 2026. FY2027 NI guided -13.4% (one-time + tariffs). PE down 32→25.5x, PB down 3.1→2.4x. Added peak earnings caution flag.

pe:32.0725.5forward_pe:24.1229.7pb:3.12.4roe:11.0%10.2%op_margin:7.8%8.2%div_yield:1.1%1.37%market_cap:¥8.25T¥8.74Tthesis:...EV content +30%...Added FY2026 record results + split + FY2027 NI decline risk

Key Metrics

25.5
PE
29.7
Fwd PE
2.4
P/B
10.2%
ROE
8.2%
Op Margin
28%
D/E
1.37%
Div Yield
+¥102B (est.)
FCF
¥8.74T
Mkt Cap

Business Segments

SegmentRevenueShareDescription
Automotive¥1,972B40%Wire harness, HV cables for EV
Infocommunications¥740B15%Fiber optic, telecom
Environment & Energy¥740B15%Power cable, EV charging cable
Electronics¥740B15%PCB, electronic wires
Industrial Materials¥740B15%Metals, alloys

Supply Chain Evidence

EvidenceCustomerProductDetail
confirmedToyotaPrimary wire harness supplierLong-standing OEM relationship[source](2025-01)
confirmedHondaWire harnessLong-standing OEM[source](2025-01)
confirmedNissanHV harness for Leaf/AriyaEV-specific HV harness supply[source](2025-01)

Primary IR Documentation

Values and insights cited from official company IR releases (earnings, 決算短信, MoUs, presentations).

Sources & References

Peer Comparison

CompanyPEFwd PEROEOp MarginFCF
Murata Manufacturing~49.7x TTM (impairment-distorted; fwd PE ~37x on FY2026 guidance)~37x (on FY2026 OP +34.8% guidance)7.25%15.4%+¥239B
TDK Corp26.5123.7111.4%12.4%+¥169B
Fuji Electric20.5917.978.2%8.7%+¥51B
Sumitomo Metal Mining28.6319.765.0%5.0%+¥87B
AGC Inc17.8914.74.7%6.2%+¥65B
Kureha CorpN/A19-6.7%-11.1%~est. negative (capex ongoing)
Asahi Kasei13.412.97.7%7.5%+¥134B
Mitsubishi Electric32.8530.610.1%9.1%+¥317B
Nidec Corp6.3%5.0%+¥174B
Hirose Electric23.323.59.0%20.3%~+¥36B
Sumitomo Electric25.529.710.2%8.2%+¥102B (est.)
Resonac Holdings83.53~31.6x5.72%4.3%+¥24B
Rohm Co.Loss (NI -¥158.4B SiC impairment)~125x (near-breakeven NI; FY2028 target >20% OP margin)Loss+1.6% Q3 FY2026 (recovering from -9.0% year ago)-¥44B
Shindengen Electric Manufacturing Co., Ltd.30.8N/AN/AN/AN/A
GS Yuasa Corporation11.04N/A9.59%N/AN/A
Mitsuba Corporation5.5N/AN/AN/AN/A
Daido Steel Co., Ltd.~11xN/AN/AN/A+est.
Nippon Seiki Co., Ltd.12.4512.05N/AN/A+confirmed
Musashi Seimitsu Industry Co., Ltd.31.6N/AN/A11.1%N/A
Stanley Electric Co., Ltd.13.84.5%6.3%N/A
Honda Motor Co., Ltd.7.775.82%7.0%N/A
Mitsui High-tec, Inc.15.31311.8%5.8%-¥12B
MinebeaMitsumi Inc.18.713.759.1%6.2%-¥21B
Ryobi Limited~8xN/A4.4%3.2%N/A
Tokai Rika Co., Ltd.~8xN/A10.9%5.9%+est. ¥15-20B
Nippon Chemi-Con Corporation9173.1%2.9%~0 (thin; ¥20B capex planned)
Japan Aviation Electronics Industry, Ltd.13.75.1%7.1%thin (¥63B capex over 3yr)
ARCHION Corporation1111~6%~2.0%Negative on integration capex through FY2027
Alps Alpine Co., Ltd.18.3N/AN/A2.4%N/A
Nichicon Corporation16.74N/AN/A3.8%N/A
Mikuni Corporation4.2N/AN/A — confirm vs J-QuantsN/A — thin, est. 1-3%N/A
T.RAD Co., Ltd.N/A — confirm vs StockAnalysisN/AN/A — confirm vs J-QuantsN/AN/A
Renesas Electronics CorporationN/A (EPS negative — IDT amortization ¥370B/yr; operating profit positive)N/A~10.5% (pre-impairment FY2025; currently impaired by amortization)N/A — confirm vs J-QuantsN/A
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.24.79x TTM22.32x (pre-PVC recovery)~10.5-11.5%~24.7% (FY2026; compressed -14.4% from PVC weakness)+¥739.4B (FY2025 — outstanding)
Sumitomo Bakelite Co., Ltd.~17.2x TTM~12.0x (FY2025 guidance ¥25.5B NI)6.54%10.3% (FY2025 guidance)+¥46B est (EV/FCF 8.73x, EV ~¥400B)
NSK Ltd32.1222.701.8%2.96%+¥44B (est.)
Toray Industries Inc25.9716.623.19%5.0%N/A
SMC Corporation29.027.247.9%N/A+¥200B (est., high net income + minimal capex)
Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited~29.7x TTM / ~22.3x forward (StockAnalysis/Simply Wall St, May 2026)~22.3x~18.4%~15.6% (implied: OP ¥117B / revenue ¥750B FY2025E)N/A (verify J-Quants; positive expected given OP margins)
UBE Corporation~8.4x TTM (cheaply valued)N/A~5.1% (WARNING: below TSE 8% target — ROE guardrail triggered. Override: capex-heavy transition period; electrolyte growth pipeline.)~4.7% (thin — monitor for recovery to 7%+)N/A (capex-heavy with Louisiana plant — verify against J-Quants when available)
Taiyo Yuden Co., Ltd.20.79x TTM (StockAnalysis, May 2026)27.52x (FY2026 guidance: +8% revenue, +50% OP income)3.92%~3.3% TTM (trough); guided to ~4.8–5% FY2026 on +50% OP recoveryN/A
F.C.C. Co., Ltd.9.5xN/AN/AN/AN/A
Nittoku Co., Ltd.14.12x15.45xN/AN/AN/A
NOK Corporation15.5xN/A~3-5%4.9%N/A
Yokowo Co., Ltd.N/AN/AN/A5.1%N/A
Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd.7.5N/A1.4%5.0%+¥52.5B
Hioki E.E. Corporation27.8xN/AN/AN/AN/A
Tsubakimoto Chain Co.~11.2xN/A8.75%~8.1%est. +¥20-25B
Central Glass Co., Ltd.17.7x~14x (26% EPS growth forecast; analyst consensus)~8.2% (est: NI ¥8.36B / book value ¥101B)~3.2% (compressed; was ~6-9% pre-Chinese LiPF6 price war)N/A (J-Quants not available; cross-validate before entry)
CKD Corporation~36x~20x (analyst forecast; likely conservative given 35.7% recent earnings growth)9.19%12.4%N/A
Panasonic Holdings Corporation32.4x~15x (FY2027 NI expected +2.2x from ¥75B base)4.77% (FY2026 trough; guided higher FY2027)~2.9% (FY2026: OP ¥236.4B / Revenue ¥8,049B; compressed by restructuring charges)N/A (Panasonic Energy capex-heavy; cross-validate before entry)
UACJ Corporation15.46x~22x (FY2027 NI guided ¥28B from ¥38.8B; NI decline; caution)11.21%~5.4% (Q3 FY2026 9M operating profit margin improving from prior year)N/A (capital-intensive aluminum rolling; verify before entry)
Kanto Denka Kogyo Co., Ltd.N/A (loss year FY2026 due to fire). Forward PE ~32x on FY2027 guided EPS ¥118.3~32x (FY2027 guided NI ¥6.8B / shares 57.46M = ¥118.3 EPS; price ¥3,775)-4.74% (FY2026 fire loss). FY2027 guided ROE ~10% (¥6.8B NI / ¥68B book)~8.7% guided FY2027 (¥10B OP / ¥95B revenue). Depressed in FY2026 (fire losses)Negative FY2026 (fire year). Recovery expected FY2027.