Fujitsu
6702.THIGHCore · Weight: 10%· Data as of 2026-05-20
Investment Thesis
FY2026 confirmed: adj. OP ¥390.5B (+27.1%), adj. margin 11.2% (first >10% ever), core FCF ¥290B (+24%). Japan's sovereign AI anchor: NVIDIA Blackwell servers at Kasashima (March 2026), FugakuNEXT prime contractor (RIKEN), MONAKA 1.4nm chip via Rapidus (NEDO funds ~2/3 of ¥58B). Net cash ¥317B. ¥150B buyback (5.76% shares). Mid-term plan May 28 may set >20% ROE target.
Risk
1) Revenue stagnation: -1.3% FY2026, +0.2% guided FY2027 — AI uplift not yet in topline. 2) PE re-rated 12.9x→18x; the 'cheap' entry is gone. 3) Reported NI ¥449B inflated by ~¥146B divestiture gains — recurring NI ~¥303B, FY2027 guided ¥310B. 4) UK Post Office Horizon: £0 contributed to ~£2B redress; no provision; ongoing parliamentary pressure.
Monitoring Trigger
May 28 mid-term plan: if >20% ROE roadmap + AI revenue segment disclosed, ADD to 12%. If FY2027 actual revenue growth >3% by Q2, ADD to 12%. If ROE stays <15% for 2 consecutive quarters, TRIM to 8%. If UK Horizon provision announced, reassess P&L impact immediately.
Key Dates
Update History
FY2026 results: adj. OP ¥390.5B (+27%), margin 11.2%, core FCF ¥290B (+24%). PE re-rated 12.9x→17.95x. ROE 15.8%. FY2027 guidance: adj. OP ¥425B (+8.8%), margin 12.1%. ¥150B buyback.
Key Metrics
Supply Chain Evidence
| Evidence | Customer | Product | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| confirmed | NVIDIA | Sovereign AI servers — HGX B300 + RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell | Kasashima Plant: device assembly March 2026, PCB assembly June 2026. NVLink Fusion for MONAKA+NVIDIA full-stack.[source](2026-02-12) |
| confirmed | RIKEN | FugakuNEXT zettascale supercomputer (prime contractor) | Contract June 2025; target operational ~2030. Hybrid ARM+NVIDIA GPU.[source](2025-06-18) |
| confirmed | NEDO/METI | FUJITSU-MONAKA 1.4nm AI chip via Rapidus | NEDO funds ~2/3 of ¥58B NPU cost. Demand-creation for Rapidus.[source](2026-Q1) |
| confirmed | Japan AI Foundation (SoftBank/NEC/Sony/Honda consortium) | Sovereign AI infrastructure | Fujitsu is key infrastructure partner for Japan's sovereign 1T-parameter AI model.[source](2026-04) |
| confirmed | UK Post Office (RISK) | Horizon IT extension — liability | £41M extension to March 2027; £0 toward ~£2B redress; no provision; lost Centrica deal.[source](2025-10) |
Sources & References
Peer Comparison
| Company | PE | Fwd PE | ROE | Op Margin | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fujitsu | 17.95 | 18.12 | 15.8% | 11.2% | +¥290B |
| NEC Corporation | 20.9 | 17.45 | 12.1% | 11.1% | +¥202B |
| Sony | 17.6 | 15.1 | 14.3% | 11.6% | +¥1,490B |
| Honda | 10.5 | 11.71 | negative (FY2025 write-down year; normalized ~4-5%) | 2.2% (FY2026 guided; FY2025 reported negative due to ¥2.5T EV impairments) | negative (FY2025 write-down); recovery guided FY2026 |
| SoftBank Group | 6.7 | 34.2 | N/A (mark-to-market dominated) | N/A | N/A |
| NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) | 11.7 | 12 | 11.0% | 12.5% | +¥1.0T+ |
| Nomura Research Institute (NRI) | 21.8 | 24.4 | 23.0% | 7.2% | +¥80B |
| Nippon Steel | N/A (loss) | N/A | negative (US Steel integration) |