Yokogawa Electric
6841.THIGHControls / Instrumentation · Weight: 15%· Data as of 2026-05-28
Investment Thesis
Signed exclusive DPCS contract with Rolls-Royce SMR (Feb 2, 2026) for global fleet control systems. APRIL 2026: GBE-N formally signed contract with Rolls-Royce SMR for 3 units at Wylfa (1.5GW) — activates Yokogawa design phase in UK Runcorn + Czech Republic + Netherlands. CENTUM VP is the standard DCS platform for all Japanese nuclear plants. FY2025 results: Revenue ¥604.8B (+7.5%), OP ¥82.6B. Dividend RAISED ¥64→¥78 (+21.9%) signaling management confidence. FY2026 guidance: Revenue ¥615.0B, NI ¥58.5B. Stock re-rated from ~¥4,200 → ¥6,245 (+49%) on SMR thesis validation.
Risk
1) EPS DECLINED FY2025: ¥174.23 → ¥160.95 (-7.6%) despite revenue growth — gross margin pressure from large-scale projects. Watch FY2026 margin recovery. 2) Valuation stretched: stock re-rated from ¥4,200 to ¥6,245 (+49%), PE expanded. If P/E >35x without earnings growth, trim per monitoring trigger. 3) Wylfa Final Investment Decision (FID) timeline risk — design phase started Apr 2026, but FID subject to UK regulatory approval (NDA/ONR). Delay = overhang. 4) JTB-forecasted Japan energy capex budget volatility vs SMR multi-year revenue recognition.
Monitoring Trigger
TRIM if: PE >35x without FY2026 earnings upgrade, OR Wylfa FID pushed >2027, OR margin fails to recover in Q1 FY2026 results. HOLD: Wylfa FID on track, FY2026 NI ≥¥58.5B guidance. ADD if: Additional SMR fleet orders announced (Czech Republic or Netherlands scope expand).
Key Dates
Update History
Dividend raised ¥64→¥78/share, yield 1.1%→1.4%, ROE updated 12.2%→11.6%. Rolls-Royce SMR catalyst advancing.
GBE-N landmark contract signed Apr 13 for 3 Rolls-Royce SMRs at Wylfa (£599M govt loan). Yokogawa DPCS moves from contract-signed to active design phase. Strongest catalyst since Feb 2 contract.
FY2025: Rev ¥604.8B (+7.5%), OP ¥82.6B. EPS declined ¥174→¥161 but dividend raised ¥64→¥78. GBE-N Wylfa contract signed Apr 2026. Stock re-rated +49% to ¥6,245. PE stretched at 38.8x TTM.
Key Metrics
Business Segments
| Segment | Revenue | Share | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Automation & Control | ¥500B | 85% | DCS, SCADA, nuclear I&C, process control |
| Measuring Instruments | ¥32B | 5% | Precision test & measurement |
| New Businesses | ¥56B | 10% | Life sciences, new energy |
Supply Chain Evidence
| Evidence | Customer | Product | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| confirmed | Rolls-Royce SMR / GBE-N | DPCS for global SMR fleet | Exclusive contract Feb 2, 2026. GBE-N landmark contract signed Apr 13, 2026 — 3 SMRs at Wylfa now in active design phase with £599M govt loan. Long lead-time equipment ordering underway.[source](2026-02) |
| confirmed | Saudi Aramco | CENTUM VP DCS + AI control agents | CPA since 2012. AI agents deployed at Fadhili Oct 2025[source](2025-10) |
| confirmed | Shell | Robotics + AI plant maintenance | Long-term agreement Jun 2025[source](2025-06) |
| confirmed | ADNOC | ICSS, ESD, fire & gas systems | AED 2.6B ($708M) framework agreement[source](2025-01) |
| probable | Japanese nuclear utilities | CENTUM VP DCS for reactor control | Standard platform for J-nuclear plants |
| confirmed | GBE-N (Great British Energy – Nuclear) | DPCS for Wylfa SMR (3 × Rolls-Royce 470MWe = 1.5GW) | April 2026: GBE-N and Rolls-Royce SMR signed formal contract for site-specific design, regulatory engagement, planning at Wylfa — activates Yokogawa DPCS design phase[source](2026-04-13) |
Sources & References
Peer Comparison
| Company | PE | Fwd PE | ROE | Op Margin | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IHI Corporation | 23.7 | 22 | 26.8% | 8.8% | +¥68B |
| Hitachi | 28.96 | 27.58 | 13.65% | 11.1% | +¥1,390B |
| Japan Steel Works | 33.5 | 31.1 | 9.09% | 8.4% | -¥19.7B |
| Yokogawa Electric | 38.8 | 23.8 | 11.5% | 13.7% | +¥44B |
| Fuji Electric | 20.3 | 17.7 | 11.8% | 10.3% | +¥51B |
| Kanadevia | 10.97 | 11 | 5.2% | 1.9% | -¥22.6B |
| Organo Corporation | 27 | 27 | 21.7% | 20.6% | +¥19B |
| Kurita Water Industries | 22.3 | 21.8 | 6.8% | 12.4% | +¥25B |
| Sumitomo Heavy Industries | 19.3 | 18 | 5.0% | 4.8% | -¥2.3B |
| Toyo Tanso | 23.2 | 23.8 | 5.7% | 14.6% | -¥5.8B (capex phase) |
| Okano Valve | 21.6 | 8.2% | 10.1% | +¥624M | |
| Kobe Steel | 8.7 | 8.5 | 7.2% | 4.8% | N/A |
| Ebara | 30.9 | 25.4 | 15.8% | 12.1% | -¥51.5B (capex) |
| Stella Pharma | -9.8% | -23.6% | N/A | ||
| Teikoku Denki | 10.49 | 9.5 | 12% | 18% | N/A |