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Yokogawa Electric

6841.THIGHScore: 68.5

Controls / Instrumentation · Weight: 15%· Data as of 2026-05-28

Also in:Nuclear
¥5,409-0.99%
6-month daily

Investment Thesis

Signed exclusive DPCS contract with Rolls-Royce SMR (Feb 2, 2026) for global fleet control systems. APRIL 2026: GBE-N formally signed contract with Rolls-Royce SMR for 3 units at Wylfa (1.5GW) — activates Yokogawa design phase in UK Runcorn + Czech Republic + Netherlands. CENTUM VP is the standard DCS platform for all Japanese nuclear plants. FY2025 results: Revenue ¥604.8B (+7.5%), OP ¥82.6B. Dividend RAISED ¥64→¥78 (+21.9%) signaling management confidence. FY2026 guidance: Revenue ¥615.0B, NI ¥58.5B. Stock re-rated from ~¥4,200 → ¥6,245 (+49%) on SMR thesis validation.

Risk

1) EPS DECLINED FY2025: ¥174.23 → ¥160.95 (-7.6%) despite revenue growth — gross margin pressure from large-scale projects. Watch FY2026 margin recovery. 2) Valuation stretched: stock re-rated from ¥4,200 to ¥6,245 (+49%), PE expanded. If P/E >35x without earnings growth, trim per monitoring trigger. 3) Wylfa Final Investment Decision (FID) timeline risk — design phase started Apr 2026, but FID subject to UK regulatory approval (NDA/ONR). Delay = overhang. 4) JTB-forecasted Japan energy capex budget volatility vs SMR multi-year revenue recognition.

Monitoring Trigger

TRIM if: PE >35x without FY2026 earnings upgrade, OR Wylfa FID pushed >2027, OR margin fails to recover in Q1 FY2026 results. HOLD: Wylfa FID on track, FY2026 NI ≥¥58.5B guidance. ADD if: Additional SMR fleet orders announced (Czech Republic or Netherlands scope expand).

Key Dates

2026-06-30rebalanceSemiannual portfolio rebalance
2026-08earningsQ1 FY2026 earnings — check margin recovery (gross profit compression was key FY2025 drag)
2026-H2catalystWylfa regulatory engagement progress — ONR pre-application consultation milestone
2027catalystWylfa FID expected — if approved, confirms multi-year DPCS revenue stream

Key Metrics

38.8
PE
23.8
Fwd PE
2.5
P/B
11.5%
ROE
13.7%
Op Margin
5%
D/E
1.25%
Div Yield
+¥44B
FCF
¥2.03T
Mkt Cap

Business Segments

SegmentRevenueShareDescription
Industrial Automation & Control¥500B85%DCS, SCADA, nuclear I&C, process control
Measuring Instruments¥32B5%Precision test & measurement
New Businesses¥56B10%Life sciences, new energy

Supply Chain Evidence

EvidenceCustomerProductDetail
confirmedRolls-Royce SMR / GBE-NDPCS for global SMR fleetExclusive contract Feb 2, 2026. GBE-N landmark contract signed Apr 13, 2026 — 3 SMRs at Wylfa now in active design phase with £599M govt loan. Long lead-time equipment ordering underway.
confirmedSaudi AramcoCENTUM VP DCS + AI control agentsCPA since 2012. AI agents deployed at Fadhili Oct 2025
confirmedShellRobotics + AI plant maintenanceLong-term agreement Jun 2025
confirmedADNOCICSS, ESD, fire & gas systemsAED 2.6B ($708M) framework agreement
probableJapanese nuclear utilitiesCENTUM VP DCS for reactor controlStandard platform for J-nuclear plants
confirmedGBE-N (Great British Energy – Nuclear)DPCS for Wylfa SMR (3 × Rolls-Royce 470MWe = 1.5GW)April 2026: GBE-N and Rolls-Royce SMR signed formal contract for site-specific design, regulatory engagement, planning at Wylfa — activates Yokogawa DPCS design phase

Sources & References