THK

6481.THIGHScore: 58

Linear Motion Components (Robot/Humanoid Critical) · Weight: 5%· Data as of 2026-05-16

¥5,787-1.46%
6-month daily

Investment Thesis

Global linear motion leader — ball screws + linear motion guides + planetary roller screws + cross roller bearings. The humanoid BOM has 6 ball screws (upper arm + forearm) and 8 planetary roller screws (thigh + calf) per unit — THK is the JP supplier of choice across both categories. Also makes cross roller bearings used in shoulder/elbow/waist rotary actuators. Stock +99% 52w; FY26 revenue +7.9% but OI -9.3% (cost pressure + restructuring). PE 58 TTM / Fwd 33 reflects expected recovery. THK is the deepest direct BOM-component exposure in JP humanoid supply chain. UPGRADED MEDIUM -> HIGH.

Risk

1) Trailing PE 62.6x, ROE 3.22%, OpMar 6.75% — too weak for stronger conviction. 2) GPT FINDING: Tesla/Figure/Unitree links are thematic, not publicly contracted. 3) MEDIUM is already the upper bound given these fundamentals.

Monitoring Trigger

Revenue growth turning positive. Named humanoid OEM supply agreements. China FA order recovery. NI positive consistently → upgrade.

Key Dates

2026-05-12earningsFY2025 earnings — critical for NI recovery confirmation
2026-06-30rebalanceSemiannual portfolio rebalance

Key Metrics

58
PE
37.4
Fwd PE
2.37
P/B
3.22%
ROE
6.75%
Op Margin
49%
D/E
2.45%
Div Yield
+¥23.9B
FCF
¥860B
Mkt Cap

Business Segments

SegmentRevenueShareDescription
LM Guides / Ball Screws¥170B71%Linear motion for robots, CNC, semiconductor equipment
Automotive Components¥50B21%Link balls, rod ends for steering/suspension
Other¥20B8%Seismic isolation, new products

Supply Chain Evidence

EvidenceCustomerProductDetail
confirmedFanuc / Yaskawa / ABB / KUKALM Guides for robot axesAll major robot OEMs use THK guides
confirmedTSMC / SamsungSemiconductor equipment linear motionPrecision stages for lithography/inspection
inferredTesla Optimus / Figure / UnitreeHumanoid actuator componentsMorgan Stanley Humanoid 100 value chain inclusion
confirmedDMG Mori / OkumaBall screws for CNC machinesStandard component in machine tools

Recent News

Primary IR Documentation

Values and insights cited from official company IR releases (earnings, 決算短信, MoUs, presentations).

Sources & References