Murata Manufacturing
6981.THIGHPassive Components / MLCC · Weight: 15%· Data as of 2026-05-19
Investment Thesis
40% global MLCC share — the toll-gate on AI infrastructure. Every Nvidia GB300 needs 30,000 MLCCs. Full AI cabinet needs 440,000. Orders at 2x capacity. Price increases 15-35% effective April 1, 2026 — Murata SETS the price, Samsung/Taiyo Yuden follow. 10-year technology lead vs China (1,000 vs 300 ceramic layers). New revenue: AI server power modules targeting JPY 50B by FY2027. Book-to-bill >1.0. AI MLCC CAGR projected 30% to 2030.
Risk
China 48% of revenue — geopolitical escalation risk. Samsung EMCO closing AI gap (40% vs 45% share) with vertical BaTiO3 integration. Silver/nickel cost inflation (60% of production cost). If AI capex cycle reverses, high-end could correct as in 2019 post-2018 super cycle.
Monitoring Trigger
Watch Q1 FY2026 book-to-bill ratio (current 1.01). Samsung AI share trajectory. China rare earth export controls impact on BaTiO3 supply. AI capex guidance from hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Amazon).
Key Dates
Update History
Cross-update from EV evolve: FY2025 beat + FY2026 OP +34.8% guidance. Power module mass prod 2026.
Key Metrics
Business Segments
| Segment | Revenue | Share | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLCC (Capacitors) | ¥694B | 40% global | Multi-layer ceramic capacitors for smartphones, auto, AI servers |
| Communication Modules | Secondary | N/A | WiFi/Bluetooth modules, SAW/BAW filters |
Supply Chain Evidence
Sources & References
Peer Comparison
| Company | PE | Fwd PE | ROE | Op Margin | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nitto Boseki | 29 | 22 | 13% | 13% | N/A |
| Murata Manufacturing | ~49.7x TTM (fwd ~37x on FY2026 guidance) | 18.23 | 8.09% | 15.1% | N/A |
| Fuji Electric | 20.6 | 18 | 13% | 11% | N/A |
| TDK Corporation | 21 | 12.3 | 8.32% | 10% | N/A |
| Taiyo Yuden | 65 | 28 | 3.92% | 5% | N/A |
| Rohm | Loss (FY2025 NI -¥158.4B SiC impairment) | 15 | Loss | 1% | N/A |
| Asahi Kasei | 13.4 | 12 | 7.8% | 7% | N/A |
| Arisawa Manufacturing | 14.85 | 14.54 | 6.85% | 7% | N/A |