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Nippon Chemi-Con Corporation

6997.TLOWScore: 33.7

Passive Components / Aluminum Electrolytic Capacitor · Weight: 3%· Data as of 2026-05-14

Also in:EV

Investment Thesis

World #1 aluminum electrolytic capacitor maker with upstream vertical integration into aluminum electrode foil — the performance-critical raw material it also supplies to competitors (structural upstream moat). DC-bus aluminum electrolytics are non-substitutable in EV motor inverters and OBCs at 300–600V; MLCCs cannot replace them. AEC-Q200 automotive-qualified LVA/KVB/KVA series explicitly targets EV OBC and inverter applications. Trough valuation at 0.62x PB with FY2026 recovery guided at +19% revenue / +100% op income as automotive inventory destocking completes. Industry-first liquid-immersion-cooling AI server capacitor (Nov 2024) adds data center optionality.

Risk

Chronic capital inefficiency — 10yr average ROE deeply negative; D/E 125% limits balance sheet flexibility. No named EV OEM customer publicly confirmed — supply chain evidence is product-category PROBABLE, not contractual. Management mid-term plan pivots toward AI server opportunity rather than doubling EV bet. Chinese makers (Jianghai, CapXon) eroding commodity-tier pricing forcing margin compression. EU cartel fine €98M (2018) suggests past moat was partly anticompetitive rather than purely technical. Nichicon is a direct comparable with similar EV focus.

Monitoring Trigger

FY2026 results: op margin >5% confirms recovery trajectory; automotive segment order intake shows EV destocking complete. Any named EV OEM customer disclosure (Honda, Denso, Shindengen) upgrades conviction to MEDIUM. Watch if Chinese automotive-grade electrolytic volumes scale — would threaten NCC's premium-tier position.

Key Dates

2026-08earningsQ1 FY2027 results — first check on FY2026 recovery guidance (+19% revenue, +100% op income)
2026-11monitoringH1 FY2027 results — confirm automotive segment order recovery vs EV slowdown risk

Key Metrics

91
PE
7
Fwd PE
0.62
P/B
3.1%
ROE
2.9%
Op Margin
125%
D/E
1.33%
Div Yield
~0 (thin; ¥20B capex planned)
FCF
¥76.2B
Mkt Cap

Business Segments

SegmentRevenueShareDescription
Automotive (車載)¥50.7B (~41%)~41%AEC-Q200 aluminum electrolytics for EV OBC, motor inverter DC bus, ADAS. Largest single segment. Weak FY2025 due to EV slowdown/destocking.
ICT / AI Servers¥34.8B (~28%)~28%Server PSU capacitors, AI server power supply. Growing. Industry-first liquid-immersion-cooling capacitor launched Nov 2024.
Industrial Equipment¥33.6B (~27%)~27%Industrial power supplies, motor drives. Slow recovery.
Aluminum Electrode Foil (upstream)Embedded in above segmentsN/AWorld #1 in aluminum electrode foil — the key performance material in electrolytic capacitors. Supplied to competitors. Structural upstream moat.

Supply Chain Evidence

EvidenceCustomerProductDetail
probableEV Motor Inverter OEMs (Honda, Denso, Shindengen ecosystem)AEC-Q200 aluminum electrolytic capacitors (LVA/KVB series, 450V rated) for DC-bus voltage filteringNCC explicitly markets LVA/KVB/KVA series for EV OBC and inverter DC-bus applications; claims 'worldwide No. 1 in automotive market'. No named OEM contracts disclosed.
confirmedNichicon, Rubycon, other capacitor makersAluminum electrode foil (upstream raw material)NCC is world #1 in aluminum electrode foil and supplies to competitors — structural upstream vertical integration moat.
confirmedAI hyperscalers / server PSU makersLiquid-immersion-cooling compatible aluminum electrolytic capacitorsIndustry-first product announced Nov 2024 for AI server thermal management environments.

Primary IR Documentation

Values and insights cited from official company IR releases (earnings, 決算短信, MoUs, presentations).

Sources & References