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Murata Manufacturing

6981.THIGHScore: 63.2

Passive Components / MLCC · Weight: 15%· Data as of 2026-05-19

Also in:EVai_ran
¥5,138-0.35%
6-month daily

Investment Thesis

~50% global automotive MLCC share. FY2025 actuals: Revenue ¥1.83T (+5.0%), OP ¥281.8B (+0.8%, suppressed by ¥43.8B SAW impairment), NI ¥233.9B. FY2026 guidance: Revenue ¥1.96T (+7.1%), OP ¥380B (+34.8%) — massive recovery as impairment is one-off. AI server MLCCs: 30% CAGR confirmed, ~15,000-25,000 MLCCs per server. AI server power modules: mass production starting 2026, targeting ¥50B by FY2027. New ¥47B factory operational. Price hikes confirmed Apr 1. Near-zero debt (D/E 0.02).

Risk

1) Tariff front-loading: H1 FY2026 demand pulled forward — H2 demand cliff risk. 2) Samsung closing AI MLCC gap (40% vs Murata 45%) — market share erosion possible. 3) PE TTM ~49.7x elevated (impairment-distorted; forward PE ~37x more reasonable). 4) SAW filter business structurally impaired (¥43.8B goodwill written off). 5) Yen strengthening risk on export earnings.

Monitoring Trigger

H1 FY2026 results (Oct 2026): Verify revenue pacing vs ¥1.96T guidance; watch H2 demand cliff from tariff front-loading. AI server power module revenue: If ¥25B+ by end FY2026, ADD to 17%. If Samsung AI MLCC share exceeds Murata, TRIM to 12%.

Key Dates

2026-06-30rebalanceSemiannual portfolio rebalance
2026-10earningsH1 FY2026 earnings — critical: verify OP pacing vs ¥380B guidance and H2 demand trajectory
2026-H2monitoringWatch for tariff-induced H2 demand pullback in MLCC orders
2027-Q1catalystAI server power module revenue ramp — targeting ¥25B+ contribution in FY2026

Key Metrics

~49.7x TTM (impairment-distorted; fwd PE ~37x on FY2026 guidance)
PE
~37x (on FY2026 OP +34.8% guidance)
Fwd PE
2.9
P/B
7.25%
ROE
15.4%
Op Margin
2%
D/E
1.44%
Div Yield
+¥239B
FCF
¥11.57T
Mkt Cap

Business Segments

SegmentRevenueShareDescription
Components (MLCC)¥694B (9M, +10.1% YoY)~51%Automotive/industrial/AI server MLCC, world #1. 7 new automotive parts launched Apr 7.
Devices & Modules~¥480B (9M est)~35%SAW/BAW filters (impaired ¥43.8B), RF modules, connectivity
Other (incl. AI server power modules)~¥196B (9M est)~14%Batteries, sensors, AI server power modules (mass production 2026, ¥50B target by FY2027)

Supply Chain Evidence

EvidenceCustomerProductDetail
confirmedTeslaAutomotive-grade MLCC (9,000+ per Model 3)WSJ/Benzinga cited; primary MLCC supplier
confirmedAppleConsumer + automotive grade MLCCMajor customer
probableToyota/HondaAutomotive MLCCMurata supplies most Japanese OEMs
confirmedAI hyperscalers (CSP)AI server MLCCs (~30,000 per server) + power modulesIn discussions with major CSP. #3 cost item in AI server BOM after GPU & memory

Primary IR Documentation

Values and insights cited from official company IR releases (earnings, 決算短信, MoUs, presentations).

IR landingMurata Manufacturing IR landing

Cites: Primary IR portal — financial highlights, Vision 2030, integrated reports

https://corporate.murata.com/en-global/ir

Earnings releaseConsolidated Financial Results FY2025 (Apr 30, 2026)

Cites: Full year FY2025: revenue ¥1,830.8B, operating profit ¥281.8B — supports >¥2T FY27 trajectory

https://corporate.murata.com/-/media/corporate/about/newsroom/news/irnews/irnews/2026/0430/25q4-e-fls.ashx

Press releaseMurata Begins Mass Production of Seven Automotive MLCCs (Apr 7, 2026)

Cites: Seven AEC-Q200 automotive MLCCs — confirms ~50% global auto MLCC share thesis

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260407486750/en/Murata-Begins-Mass-Production-of-Seven-Automotive-MLCCs-with-World-leading-Capacitance-for-Their-Rated-Voltage-and-Size-Supporting-Stable-Operation-of-In-vehicle-Systems-and-Greater-Design-Flexibility

Earnings releaseFY2025 Earnings Conference Apr 30, 2026 — FY2026 guidance ¥1.96T revenue, ¥380B OP

Cites: FY2025 actual: ¥1.83T rev, ¥281.8B OP; FY2026 guidance: ¥1.96T rev, ¥380B OP (+34.8%)

https://corporate.murata.com/-/media/corporate/about/newsroom/news/irnews/irnews/2026/0430b/25q4-e-speach.ashx

Press releaseTrendForce: Murata AI Server Power Module Mass Production 2026, ¥50B target FY2027

Cites: Power module mass production 2026, ¥50B by FY2027, working with one major CSP

https://www.trendforce.com/news/2025/12/17/news-murata-reportedly-to-mass-produce-ai-server-power-modules-in-2026-targets-%C2%A550b-by-fy27

Sources & References