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Asahi Kasei

3407.TMEDIUMScore: 56.3

Battery Materials / Separator · Weight: 7%· Data as of 2026-05-17

Also in:EV
¥1,524.5-0.68%
6-month daily

Investment Thesis

Classic trough-to-recovery: Hipore separator EBITDA remains depressed but North America supply chain building. FY2026 record OP ¥231.2B driven by Healthcare (pharma+Zoll) + Homes — separator weakness masked by diversification. Charlotte NC coating starts supply to Toyota Tsusho mid-2027 (confirmed). Port Colborne Ontario ($1.56B plant) proceeding to H1 2029 production (delayed). Valuation at trough: PE 13.4x, PB 1.07x.

Risk

Hipore recovery timeline extended — Port Colborne delayed to 2029 (Honda Canada suspended EV plans but maintained 25% stake). Chinese separator competition intensifying. Materials segment OP declined in FY2026 despite record group profit. EV demand timing uncertainty. FY2026 record OP at group level creates AP01 optic risk (though underlying separator is still at trough — not true AP01).

Monitoring Trigger

Charlotte NC coating facility commercial production (H1 FY2027 = Apr-Sep 2026 — check Q1 FY2027 commentary). Toyota Tsusho supply start mid-2027 confirmed. Port Colborne groundbreaking/construction progress. Hipore segment EBITDA recovery signal. If Materials segment OP turns positive on separator, UPGRADE. If Port Colborne is cancelled, DOWNGRADE.

Key Dates

2026-06catalystCharlotte NC coating facility starts operations (H1 FY2027 target per IR) — first North American Hipore production
2026-06-30rebalanceSemiannual portfolio rebalance
2026-11earningsQ2 FY2027 earnings — watch for Charlotte NC coating contribution and Hipore segment progress
2027-04monitoringQ4 FY2027 earnings — Charlotte NC supply to Toyota Tsusho starts mid-2027; check initial revenue booking
2029-H1catalystPort Colborne Ontario commercial production start (delayed from 2027/2028)

Key Metrics

13.4
PE
12.9
Fwd PE
1.07
P/B
7.7%
ROE
7.5%
Op Margin
55%
D/E
2.5%
Div Yield
+¥134B
FCF
¥2.13T
Mkt Cap

Business Segments

SegmentRevenueShareDescription
Materials¥1,520B50%Hipore separator, resins, fibers
Homes¥760B25%Hebel Haus residential
Healthcare¥760B25%Zoll medical, pharma

Supply Chain Evidence

EvidenceCustomerProductDetail
confirmedToyota Tsusho / Toyota battery chainCoated Hipore separator — Charlotte NCCapacity rights agreement July 2025. Supply from mid-2027 from Charlotte NC coating facility. Preferential share of production.
confirmedHonda MotorHipore separator — Port Colborne plant (25% equity stake)Honda committed ~CAD$240M for 25% stake in Port Colborne $1.56B plant. Honda Canada suspended EV plans but maintained stake. Construction proceeding for H1 2029 production.
probableKorean battery makers (LG, Samsung SDI)Hipore wet-process separatorHistorical supply. No new 2026 contract announced. North America pivot ongoing.

Recent News

Primary IR Documentation

Values and insights cited from official company IR releases (earnings, 決算短信, MoUs, presentations).

Sources & References