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Kandenko Co.

1942.THIGHScore: 50.1

Satellite · Weight: 8%· Data as of 2026-05-03

Investment Thesis

Japan's largest independent electrical construction contractor — the licensed-labor bottleneck for DC builds. DC and semiconductor factory orders reached ¥29.3B in FY2024 and are accelerating into FY2025-26. Construction wait times for major DCs in Japan exceed 3 years, and Kandenko's TEPCO-trained workforce in the Kanto region is the critical path for every Tokyo-area hyperscale project. FY2026 NI +49.9% YoY to ¥63.5B; MTP ROE target raised to 16%. PE 14x with structural multi-year backlog is compelling.

Risk

1) DC orders ~4% of disclosed order intake — may be categorized as 'concept stock' if hyperscaler commitment in Japan stalls or delays. 2) Labor shortage is a feature now but constrains own growth — Kandenko cannot take unlimited orders if qualified electricians are already fully allocated. 3) TEPCO sold ¥150B Kandenko stake in Jan 2026 — future TEPCO preference may fade; watch order mix shift.

Monitoring Trigger

If DC/semiconductor order intake exceeds ¥40B in FY2026 (reported Nov 2026), ADD to 10%. If MTP ROE target of 16% confirmed in earnings, ADD to 10%. If Japan hyperscaler capex commitments reverse or construction wait times begin to fall below 18 months, TRIM to 5%.

Key Dates

2026-11monitoringQ2 FY2027 earnings — check DC/semiconductor order intake vs ¥40B trigger
2027-03monitoringMTP ROE target year — 16% ROE vs current 10.5%

Key Metrics

14
PE
N/A
Fwd PE
1.3
P/B
10.5%
ROE
9.0%
Op Margin
N/A
D/E
N/A
Div Yield
N/A
FCF
¥1,240B
Mkt Cap

Business Segments

SegmentRevenueShareDescription
Private-sector Construction¥520B est.~70%DC, semiconductor fabs, industrial. Primary growth driver.
Public-sector Works¥130B est.~17%Government/utility infrastructure projects
Maintenance & Services¥90B est.~13%Recurring maintenance of installed electrical infrastructure

Supply Chain Evidence

EvidenceCustomerProductDetail
confirmedTEPCO and major Kanto utilitiesHV substation construction, grid infrastructure E&CKandenko was a TEPCO subsidiary for decades; deeply embedded in TEPCO grid infrastructure. Legacy relationships remain core revenue despite TEPCO stake sale.
probableJapan hyperscale DC developers (NTT, SoftBank, Equinix, IIJ)HV switchroom construction, UPS room fit-out, internal cabling, BMS installation for data centersKandenko is Japan's dominant independent electrical contractor in the Kanto region where most hyperscale DCs are built. DC order intake ¥29.3B FY2024, up from ¥22B FY2023.
probableSemiconductor fabs (TSMC Kumamoto, domestic chipmakers)Cleanroom electrical construction, EPC services for semiconductor fab power infrastructureMTP revision explicitly names semiconductor fabs alongside DCs as co-equal growth drivers. Japan fab buildout (TSMC Kumamoto, Rapidus Chitose) requires intensive E&C labor.

Sources & References